Globe And Mail Article And Passive Macro

I was featured awhile ago in an article at the Globe and Mail, "This investor has been overweighting U.S. stocks and bonds" by Larry MacDonald. Larry writes articles featuring the investment style of various investors for their personal portfolios. In it, I mentioned what I call "passive macro" investing.

Why 60/40?

One of the stronger "rules of thumb" for investing was to have a "60/40 Portfolio": holding 60% equities (stocks), and 40% bonds. This portfolio allocation is aimed at providing good long-term performance with acceptable risk. In this article, I explain why the 60/40 allocation is reasonable - the tilt towards equities should provide higher returns, but the allocation allows for considerable uncertainty in future investment returns.

Book Review: Investing From The Top Down

In Investing From The Top Down: A Macro Approach To Capital Markets, Anthony Crescenzi lays out the case for "macro" investing. Instead of trying to pick securities by scouring over company reports, one looks at the trends in the macro economy and markets. The advantage of this approach is that it requires less of a time commitment, and if one is successful, it will be easier to sidestep crises that are blundered into by those who myopically focus on what is happening to particular companies. Although billed as being useful for institutional as well as retail investors, it is not too complex and so I view the true audience as being retail investors or people who have entered finance without a background in economics.

Peak Oil And Personal Finance

Resource limits hang over the long-term outlook for societies - often summarised as "Peak Oil" or "Peak Food". In order to make a personal finance plan, it is a factor that ought to be taken into account. Unlike other macroeconomic trends, how you structure your portfolio probably matters less than how you structure your spending. This article provide a high level summary of my views on this topic, which will filled out in later posts. Correspondingly, I will give the justification for these arguments in later article.

Book Review: The Strategic Dividend Investor

The book "The Strategic Dividend Investor" by Daniel Peris provides an introduction to dividend investing. The book provides a lengthy explanation of the motivation why focussing on dividends matters; the stock market is apparently less efficient than theory states. The irony is that this inefficiency is partly the result of financial theory that is based upon the premise that the market is in fact efficient. He then gives an overview of dividend investing strategies, but this part of the book is probably too brief.

Summer Schedule

Summer is upon us in the Northern Hemisphere, and I will be dropping my blog writing schedule to a target of one article a week. These articles will be mainly on my main website (bondeconomics.com), although I hope to put up an article or two on this personal finance section (personalfinance.bondeconomics.com).

I am writing blogs as a means of developing myself as an author - the blogs act as a form of a first draft, and it creates a public presence for myself. I have plans to write a few short books about economics and the bond markets, and do not expect to turn to writing a book about personal finance for at least a few years. As a result, I did not expect to write too many articles on this personal finance section; publishing roughly every 2-3 weeks.

Unfortunately, I injured my hand awhile ago, and my writing productivity dropped. My hand is getting better, and I am now using voice recognition software. But this meant that my writing about personal finance was dropped. With my hand recovering, I hope to start producing personal finance articles at a slow, steady pace once again in August or September.

Strategic RRSP Planning

In this article aimed at Canadian readers, I briefly explain what a Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSP's) is, and the strategic principles of why you would want to use them. My discussion is aimed at readers who are relatively far away from retirement. (There are similar savings vehicles in other countries which may have similar principles, but the details depend upon the specifics of tax laws.) I discuss why arguments that RRSP's will face tax disadvantages because "governments are broke" are questionable.